Optimus Rhyme wrote:
Do you think GW will be able to renew its contract with New Line Cinemas to continue supporting SBG and WoTR?
They might, but there's three crucial questions:
1: how much does it cost? TE/New Line et al might (might? Almost certainly
will) want more money.
2: what does that cost get you? The Hobbit will have a lot of new and unique imagery, but nothing compared to the trilogy.
3: For how long? GW probably will not want a ten year license. They may want a two year license, subject to review by both parties (Mithril miniatures has such a license. It's automatically renewed every two years). TE/New Line might want more more annually for a two year reviewed license than a ten year one.
Lots of people signed expensive license deals for the trilogy expecting 5 to 10 years of success, and discovered that the secondary market trailed off rapidly after Return of the King extended edition came out. GW probably does not want that experience again.
So, I strongly suspect we'll see a GW 25-30mm fantasy battle game of some sort released for the Hobbit movie. What form it will take and how long it will last and how it will be marketed, I have no idea.
I do not, however, think it will still be sold in 2015, nevermind 2020.
Gavin