Draugluin wrote:
Don't bother, there is literally no other way itt could have happened without Sauron winning.
Never thought I'd say this, but I agree with Draugluin.
The Lord of the Rings is a great example of the
Butterfly Effect, in that small changes might lead to hugely different outcomes.
IMO it all hinges on Boromir. If Boromir had remained in Gondor and Faramir sent in his stead to the Council of Elrond, there probably would not have been an attempt to take the Ring from Frodo. Without that incident, the Fellowship would probably not have broken. They might even have been massacred, because if they were not scattered over the forest looking for Frodo, they would not have been able to take on the Uruk Hai piecemeal but have to face them all at once. And the Uruk Hai would not have legged it when they killed Boromir and grabbed the two Hobbits - they would have fought to the death. In fact they might even have grabbed the
right hobbit, or
all of them, with all their targets together.
Assuming that the Fellowship all survived, they probably would not have taken the long detour into Rohan. So Rohan would likely have fallen without their influence. At the very least, they wouldn't have reunited with Gandalf, because he was in the Fangorn area (and probably didn't know where they were) and they would still have been on their way to Mordor. Fangorn might not have risen, or at least would take longer (if a wandering Ent stumbled across Sarumans entrepreneurial logging industry; or a Ent was woken up when his legs got chopped off). So no Huorns to conveniently massacre any Uruk Hai fleeing from Helms Deep. If Rohan did survive, without the influence of Aragorn the rightful King of Gondor they might not resolved to ride to Gondors aid when the War came (especially if their own losses were more severe).
Thanks to Aragorn's Ranger craft, they likely would have made their way through Emyn Muil and the Dead Marshes quite easily, and not have encountered Gollum (he wouldn't have dared to approach such a large group). However, as they approached Mordor, being such a large group its likely they would have been spotted. If by some miracle they avoided detection and reached the Black Gate, they would still have decided against trying to enter through there as even with the 9 of them its still suicide. Faramir, who knows of the Cirith Ungol pass would then have offered an alternative (taking Gollums role).
With Faramir's native knowledge, once within Ithilien they would have found their way easily and avoided detection from the Haradrim and Ithilien Rangers. If they did encounter the Rangers, Faramir could have ordered them to let the Fellowship pass (him being their former commanding officer and all). They would have made it to Minas Morgul and the stair quite easily. Assuming they can climb the stair undetected, they probably would have made it through Shelobs lair quite easily. Faramir knew that there was some monster lurking there so they would be forewarned, and Shelob would have been more wary attacking such a large group. If she did attack, theres a greater chance that she would have been killed outright.
However, once they get to Cirith Ungol it all begins to fall apart. If the Orcs of Cirith Ungol realised they were being attacked by such a large group, they would have been more organised and united in fighting the Fellowship, rather than fighting amongst themselves. Also, they may not have fought each other in the first place as I believe its the argument between the leaders Shagrat and Gorbag over Frodo which sparked it (my perceptions affected by the films).
If by some miracle they made it into Mordor, this is where they definately would have been caught. Without Rohan riding to Gondors aid and the dead of Dunharrow sworn to Aragorn, Gondor would have fallen. The Battle of the Black Gate would never have happened, and Mordor would still have been swarming with Saurons legions. Theres no way 2 Men, an Elf, a Dwarf and 4 Hobbits could have passed through undetected.
And this is just one possible, arbitrary outcome. There are so many variables to consider.