Potential SPOILERS here folks. Also rampant speculation, but hat's the internet for you.
I've been dwelling on the 8 scenarios. Particularly the rumour that the last 3 are linked, or else portray different stages of some large conflict.
I've also, using a dark and powerful magic (it sounds like Goo Nube), been listening through the leaked OST, and i think I've got a rough version of events.
Scenario 1. Gandalf and Thrain. We know the film opens in Bree, with Gandalf and Thorin discussing the quest, there's said to be the flashback here showing Thrain's part in Azanulbizar, and his subsequent capture, and finding by gandalf. We can guess from Trailers (and the mini itself) that this finding is not initially friendly, as Thrain is quite mad.
Scenario 2. Company VS Spiders. Possibly Elves to the Rescue after a certain point, going off the lego sets.
Scenario 3. Barrels out of Bond. Big river, loads of Elves, Orcs and Azog. Moving Dwarves as objectives, perhaps - using the new finecast set.
Scenario 4. Gandalf in Dol Guldur. Sauron is revealed in his full glory about half way through the film, based on the ost building into a frankly epic rendition of the mordor theme. Gandalf snoops around Dol Guldur, fights bolg possibly (going off an action figure twin pack showing bolg and an injured gandalf) but is eventually overpowered - possibly by Sauron himself - and placed in the cage we see him in in the trailer.
Scenario 5. Laketown. We know from interviews that PJ splits he company here temporarily (in order to give more screen time to lesser members, as well as a broader perspective on what's going on). We also know tat Legolas (with Orcrist) and Tauriel fight Orcs in Laketown. Presumably, Azog has tracked the company there and decides to kill everyhing. So a nice fight, with some heroes, and Laketown guards, perhaps.
Scenario 6. Part one of the three part fight. Beorn and Radagast rescue Gandalf (based off the Lego set), and get the hell out of dodge.
Scenario 7. The wizards and Beorn are pursued through mirkwood, but rescued by Thranduil (based on two sources - first, from a preview clip of an orc interrogation we know Thranduil knows about Sauron's return, and he looks positively terrified by it, secondly, during the final few tracks of the OST we get treated to a very martial rendition of Thranduil's theme from AUJ).
Scenario 8. All out war in mirkwood as Thranduil's army tries to stop the Orcs of Dol Guldur. Big battle, and our first real high points value, high model count battle for the hobbit. A fitting climax.
Now there's a problem, and you've probably seen it. No Smaug. Couldn't fit him in, and we know that there's an epic battle between him and e Dwarves whilst Scenarios 6,7 and 8 are going on. My theory - the rumours of WB dicking GW about are true. If Smaug HAS to be a £100+ massive two foot long plastic kit/forgeworld mini or nothing, then gw might just decide that he's not going to justify the expense of creating such a miniature considering the sales of their AUJ stuff, and pending the reception of DoS. If DoS does well for Gw, THEN they might do it and put rules/scenario in the box as a leaflet. Just a hunch to patch over an obvious missing part of my list, but I'm afraid it feels possible.
What do you guys think? Right, about right, way off? It at least shows that they can get all the major action sequences covered in the 8 scenarios they're bringing, which gives me hope that this isn't just "Codex: Mirkwood-then-we-quit".
Can't wait for the book! Hopefully i'm not too far off!
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