Thermo wrote:
A hobby won't die so long as there are enthusiastic people who still persist with it. The basis of rules, formats and miniatures are there... if Games workshop stopped producing models and supporting the system, it would only encourage me personally and probably others judging by this forum, to create and convert more models and house rules etc
Thing being, of course, that there has been a "LOTR gaming hobby" since about 1974, and probably earlier. One time, it was even GW making figures for the LOTR gaming hobby. Some of said figures ended up repurposed into early Warhammer.
So, yeah that bit of the hobby will keep going.
The key issue for all these nerd hobbies is that they tend to age really quickly. The age profile for Dungeons&Dragons and historical wargaming and whatnot is heading north of 40.
GW's appeal, or utility, is that their age profile is really low. In other words they were creating new gamers. It meant that some (small) percentage of teenagers buying The Fellowship of the Ring boxed set in 2001 with their Christmas money would be playing lots of miniatures games in 2013. Generally, the more people playing a hobby game, the better. Means you can play different ways, choose groups who play the way you do, and have less weirdo beardy guys with freakish eyes. (That latter, is, alas, a problem. )
So if LOTR goes away tomorrow, people will still be playing. They may not be using the SBG rules, but they'll be playing. The issue is really there'll be less playing and the community playing will become smaller, more focussed and more fragmented.
Not the end of the world, but makes life harder when you think "man, I'd love to go and play some LOTR" and realise the nearest player is an hour away, and likes to rant about the Jewish world domination conspiracy :p